美国农业部-美股-农业行业-2020-2021年美国稻米展望-20200413-12页.pdf
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1、1 RCS-20D,April 13,2020 USDA,Economic Research Service,Rice Outlook Nathan Childs U.S.2020/21 Rice Plantings Indicated at 2.85 Million Acres The only revision this month to the U.S.2019/20 rice balance sheet was a 0.5-million cwt reduction in the long-grain import forecast to 25.5 million cwt,still
2、the highest on record.The smaller import forecast lowered the long-grain ending stocks forecast 3.5 percent to 13.7 million cwt,the lowest since 2003/04.The long-grain season-average farm price(SAFP)was raised 20 cents to$12.20 per cwt.The California 2019/20 SAFP was also raised$20 cents,now forecas
3、t at$18.20 per cwt.In the global rice market,forecasts for 2019/20 production,consumption,trade,and ending stocks were all lowered this month,with Southeast Asia accounting for most of the production and export declines.Export price quotes from Thailand and the United States continue to increase,wit
4、h quotes the highest for both in 7 years.Neither Vietnam nor India are currently quoting prices for exports.0510152025010203040502000/0105/0610/1115/1619/20Ending StocksStocks-to-Use RaioU.S.long-grain ending stocks in 2019/20 are projected to be the lowest since 2003/04Million cwt(rough-rice basis)
5、Percent Cwt=Hundredweight.2019/20 are forecasts.Sources:2000/01-2016/17,Rice Yearbook Dataset,USDA,Economic Research Service 2017/18-2019/20,USDA,World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates,World Agricultural Outlook Board.Market yearApproved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board.Next release i
6、s May 14,2020 RCS-20D April 13,2020 In this report:-Domestic Outlook-International OutlookRice Outlook monthly tables,in excel format,can be found on the Rice Outlook report page on USDAs Economic Research Service website.Economic Research Service|Situation and Outlook 每日免费获取报告1、每日微信群内分享7+最新重磅报告;2、每
7、日分享当日华尔街日报、金融时报;3、每周分享经济学人4、行研报告均为公开版,权利归原作者所有,起点财经仅分发做内部学习。扫一扫二维码关注公号回复:研究报告加入“起点财经”微信群。2 RCS-20D,April 13,2020 USDA,Economic Research Service Domestic Outlook U.S.Rice Plantings Indicated to Rise 12 Percent in 2020/21 In March,U.S.rice growers indicated they would expand rice plantings 12 percent
8、in 2020/21 to 2.85 million acres.Despite the intended increase,plantings would still be 3 percent below 2018/19 plantings.Long-grain accounts for almost all of the 2020/21 intended area expansion.At 2.1 million acres,U.S.long-grain plantings are indicated to be up 18 percent from a year earlier,with
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